Understanding Conflict Overflight Risk in a Changing Security Environment

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The aviation industry operates in an increasingly complex global security environment. Armed conflicts, geopolitical tensions and rapidly evolving air defence capabilities have significantly heightened the risks associated with operating aircraft near or over conflict zones. 

In recent years, the aviation industry has witnessed several tragic incidents in which commercial aircraft were misidentified and shot down while operating in or near areas of military activity. Events such as the downing of Malaysia Airlines Flight 17 and the Ukraine International Airlines Flight 752 shoot-down have demonstrated the devastating consequences of misidentification in contested airspace and reinforced the importance of robust risk assessment and operational decision making.

Managing these risks requires more than simply avoiding declared conflict zones. Airlines and aviation stakeholders must evaluate evolving military capabilities, shifting threat environments and complex geopolitical developments to make informed operational decisions that protect passengers, crew and aircraft.

Osprey Flight Solutions is a global leader in aviation security intelligence and risk analysis, supporting airlines, regulators and aviation organisations worldwide. Through years of operational experience and continuous monitoring of global conflict activity, Osprey provides specialised intelligence that enables safer overflight planning and risk mitigation.

The Osprey Training Platform has been developed to share this expertise with the aviation community. Our courses provide practical insight into how conflict-related threats emerge, how they are assessed and how aviation professionals can incorporate structured risk management into operational decision making.

By completing our trainings, participants will gain a foundational understanding of conflict overflight risk management and the analytical frameworks used to support safe aviation operations in today's complex security environment. 

 Why learn with Osprey

Grounded in international standards

Content draws directly on ICAO, IATA and ISO frameworks, giving you knowledge that is audit and regulatory aligned.

Built around real incidents

Case studies from documented events including PS752, MH17, the Khartoum Airport attacks and the Niger airspace closure bring abstract concepts into sharp operational focus. 

Structured for decision makers

Each module builds practical competence in risk identification, analysis and treatment, not just theoretical awareness.

Relevant across aviation sectors

Whether you work in commercial aviation, business aviation or cargo operations, the frameworks and principles apply directly to your operating environment. 
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We have over 15 years of aviation risk management experience

Meet Our Course Authors

Tatevik Revazian
SVP Growth
Osprey Flight Solutions
Tatevik served as the world's youngest Director General of a Civil Aviation Authority and the first female Director General in Armenia, guiding the country through the global pandemic, active conflict, and social unrest. She holds a double master's degree from Copenhagen Business School and Stockholm School of Economics and is certified in Aviation Security and Safety Management.
Stanislav Bukhman
Head of Risk
Osprey Flight Solutions
Stanislav designs and delivers risk management methodology for clients across commercial aviation, business aviation, and government sectors. He previously led Group Safety, Security and Compliance for one of Europe's largest airlines and is currently pursuing PhD research on overflight security risk management with the University of Southampton.

Matthew Borie
Chief Intelligence Officer and co-founder
Osprey Flight Solutions
Matthew provides strategic direction for data collection and analytical output, with expertise in conflict zone activity. With 14 years of aviation security and intelligence experience, Matthew previously served as an intelligence analyst at MedAire & Control Risks and as an Operations Intelligence Craftsman in the US Air Force, including deployments to Iraq and Afghanistan.

Isobel Kerr
Analysis Output Manager
Osprey Flight Solutions
Isobel obtained a master’s degree in Security Management from the University of Portsmouth in 2019. For her dissertation, she conducted primary research into the development of performance measurements for security management systems (SeMS) within the aviation sector. Prior to joining Osprey in 2020, she was a geopolitical intelligence analyst for a travel risk management company.
Sean Patrick
Senior Aviation Security Analyst
Osprey Flight Solutions
Sean has a decade of experience in the security industry and holds a master’s degree with distinction in Intelligence and Security Studies from Brunel University. Prior to joining Osprey, Sean worked for many years in the travel and security industry. Sean also has a special focus on forecasting and providing proactive intelligence and information, ensuring that operators are aware of changing security environments as situations develop.

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